Poland v Austria – Euro2024 Group D Predictions & Betting Tips

Olympiastadion Berlin (Berlin) 21 June - 17:00
Poland
VS
Austria
Recommended tip Draw

The pressure is already on these two teams after they lost their first matches against the Netherlands and France.

The thing is, we watched the games and thought they both played well, not really outplayed and don’t forget, it’s the Netherlands and France we’re talking about here, two of the best teams in Europe.

This is one of those games where the team that loses will probably be out of the competition, even a draw is not much good, so we are expecting a cagey game. If there is an early goal for either side, we would expect it to be end-to-end stuff, but the game is not about ifs and buts.

This game is going to be an intriguing encounter and one that we can’t wait to watch.

Odds and Predictions

The bookies have got Austria down as favourites at odds of 1.95, the draw is priced at 3.5 and the odds on Poland are 3.90.

After analysing the odds and the performances from those first two games, we are going to have to go for the result that neither team wants, a draw!

That price of 3.5 is attractive to us, as are the odds for a 1 – 1 draw at 7.0.

We are sometimes asked why we predict a 1 – 1 draw so many times with our predictions, especially in games like these.

Our reasoning is very simple and based on stats: if we think a game is going to be a draw, the most likely score line is going to be 1 -1, in fact, 42% of all draws in the EPL over the past few seasons have been 1 -1.

So, just in case you were wondering, that’s the reason.

The last one of our tips is Robert Lewandowski in the ‘to score at any time’ market.

He missed the first game against the Netherlands due to a thigh injury, but if he plays, we expect him to score (just make sure you tick the ‘void if player does not start’ box on the bet slip to be on the safe side.

Poland v Austria bet builder

Comparison and Statistics from Past Meetings between the Teams

Poland and Austria have faced each other head-to-head a total of 11 times, with Poland winning 6, Austria winning three times and two games ending in a draw.

Here are the last five H2H matches they have played against each other.

Past Meetings
09 Sep 2019 poland 0-0 austria UEFA European Championship Qualifier
21 Mar 2019 austria 0-1 poland UEFA European Championship Qualifier
12 Jun 2008 austria 1-1 poland UEFA European Championship
03 Sep 2005 poland 3-2 austria FIFA World Cup Qualifier
09 Oct 2004 austria 1-3 poland FIFA World Cup Qualifier

Expected Line Ups

This is in no way an insult to the Poland team, but we feel that the result of this game rests on whether Robert Lewandowski is fit to play or not, he is such an important player for the Polish side.

Austria are no mugs, their attacking play was impressive against France, and do you realise they won 6 corners to France’s 2?

A very good indicator as to how Austria likes to play.

Poland (4-4-2): Wojciech Szczęsny; Bartosz Bereszyński, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Tymoteusz Puchacz; Piotr Zieliński, Grzegorz Krychowiak, Jakub Moder, Kamil Grosicki; Robert Lewandowski, Karol Świderski.

Austria (4-2-3-1): Patrick Pentz; Stefan Posch, Gernot Trauner, Philipp Lienhart, David Alaba; Konrad Laimer, Xaver Schlager; Marcel Sabitzer, Florian Grillitsch, Michael Gregoritsch; Marko Arnautović.

How Far Will These Teams Progress in the Tournament?

It is going to be tough for either team to qualify, which is a shame because they are both entertaining to watch.

If either of these teams wins, and depending on the result of the Netherlands v France match, they will have a chance of qualifying, but as we have already mentioned, it is a big if.

All we can say is that this is going to be yet another intriguing match and so important for both teams.

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